Mar 30, 2026 1:08 p.m.

Morning Briefing - 30 Mar. 2026

Farid Muzaffar CommoPlast Asia Sdn Bhd
Escalating Middle Eastern conflicts are driving energy markets higher, compounding a severe regional petrochemical supply squeeze triggered by South Korea's abrupt naphtha export ban.
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Morning Briefing

30 March 2026

 

Brent: $112.57 (+ $4.56)

WTI: $99.64 (+ $5.16)

 

Naphtha CFR Japan: á

 

Ethylene CFR NEA: Stable

Ethylene CFR SEA: á

 

Propylene FOB Korea: á

Propylene CFR China: á

 

*Data represent closing prices of the previous trading day

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South Korea naphtha export ban sparks Asia-wide PP, PE supply squeeze

Asia’s petrochemical balance is tightening abruptly as South Korea has decided to ban naphtha exports to prioritise domestic feedstock, shifting the market from demand-led weakness to supply risk. With the country a key supplier to the regional market, the redirection of volumes comes at a critical juncture, amplifying disruption across core Asian demand centres already exposed to Middle East-linked uncertainty.  

The strain is set to deepen downstream as reduced cracker runs threaten PP and PE availability, while the prospect of export curbs raises the risk of a sharper regional squeeze, forcing buyers to scramble for alternatives. If supply stress persists, other governments may adopt similar defensive measures, accelerating market fragmentation and reinforcing a firmer, policy-driven price trajectory despite subdued demand.

Read the full story:

Update: South Korea bans naphtha exports, eyes wider petrochemical curbs

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Oil jumps to start the week as Houthi involvement deepens regional conflict fears

Energy markets entered the new week on a bullish footing, as escalating Middle East tensions tightened an already fragile supply outlook. The involvement of Iran-backed Houthis and a growing US military presence have raised the risk of a broader, protracted conflict, compounding disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and reinforcing fears of sustained supply losses at a time when flows are already heavily restricted. The risk is now extending beyond a single chokepoint. Threats to Red Sea routes and Saudi export infrastructure are adding a second layer of strain, deepening prompt tightness and keeping the market steeply in backwardation.

For Asia, where reliance on Middle Eastern crude is structural, the shock is immediate, while a prolonged conflict is driving a repricing of geopolitical risk and keeping the near-term price bias decisively to the upside.

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